Monday, December 7, 2009

Insight on the Insight Bowl (a pun you will likely hear 9,286 times over the next 24 days)

There's been plenty of sarcasm and negativity around these parts lately, as I'm sure you have noticed.  Jeff and I tend to respond to it a bit differently.  He writes about it, which is healthy.  I, on the other hand, curl up in the fetal position on the floor with my thumb in my mouth, rocking back and forth while faintly humming the Minnesota rouser. It's not quite as healthy.

Last night our Golden Gophers were awarded for their efforts this season with a return trip to the Insight.com Bowl in sunny Tempe, Arizona on New Year's Eve to play the Cyclones of Iowa State.  While you no doubt know exactly how we feel about this bowl if you are regular of this blog (and thank you again to all seven of you), I am here to talk silver lining. 

Bowl eligibility is an important thing for a football program.  It gives you an opportunity to play a program that you don't often get a chance to play, which gives the team a test outside of its conference.  It gives you an opportunity to represent the Big Ten Conference on a national level.  And perhaps most importantly for this Gopher team, it gives you another month of practices as a program that you desperately need if you are going to improve before next season. 

The very good news for the Gophers is that Iowa State is a much better match-up for us than a team like Missouri or Texas Tech would have been.  Iowa State is very similar to the Gophers in the sense that their strength is defense.  Their offense (21.5 ppg) actually ranked worse than ours (21.6 ppg) this year in points scored/game. 

Here are some links to get you started on prepping for the game:

*Official Insight Bowl website.
*ISU fans like the match-up too.(Make sure to check out the comments.  Hawkeye fans are already spewing hatred for the Gophers and jumping on the Cyclones bandwagon.)
*Rittenberg gives his first take on the game.
*ESPN has a brief preview with some statistical side-by-sides.
*If you plan to head to Tempe for the game, Creative Charters already has packages available.
*Nick Tow-Arnett thinks his third trip to the Insight Bowl might be a charm.
*ISU hasn't been to a bowl game since 2005, and their fans appear to be more excited about this game than we are.

Friday, December 4, 2009

Welcome to Winter and the Last Regular Season Weekend

Greetings to you and a very happy Friday wherever you're reading from. I don't know about you, but this is always seems such a tough and long week coming off almost five days off from Thanksgiving and all the food and fun. Then again, with the current state of unemployment in this country with almost 25 million Americans out of work or under-employed, I suppose I should be thankful for a full-time job. I'm also thankful for the last regular season weekend of college football. It's sad that another college football season is almost over, but it should be a great Saturday of games. There's not much going with the Big Ten on the field, as Wisconsin and Illinois are the only two teams playing, but there's still plenty of intrigue around the conference and the country. On this cold, cold Friday (it was 16 degrees when I got in the car this morning) let's get to it!

- Adam Rittenberg has more details on the alleged Michigan State brawl, and let's just say things continue to sound worse and worse for the Spartans. A commenter provided this good link to a story from a Michigan paper that muses that this whole mess puts Sparty in danger of not only getting left out of the Alamo Bowl, but perhaps the Insight too. Although, I'm pretty sure the Insight HAS to take a Big Ten team if there is one eligble, and IF Minnesota were to get taken by the Alamo, MSU would be the only bowl eligble Big Ten left. The selection should come as late as Sunday night when the BCS bowls are announced, and it continues to sound as if the Alamo will wait as long as possible to make their decision.

- The two games involving Big Ten teams tomorrow are not exactly appointment viewing. At least not for me. Illinois hosts Fresno State at 11:30am on the Big Ten Network in what should be at least a competitive game. I like Illinois' chances of winning as Fresno's run defense is terrible, and about the only thing the Illini do well is run (well unless they're playing the Gophers, in which case they do everything well). The odds of Illinois winning are certainly higher than me watching this game, which is currently set a zero, zilch, and nada. Ditto the Wisconsin game, although I suppose it has more to do with the start time (10:30pm!!! on The Deuce) than mild interest. The Badgers should run all over the Warriors and run away with this game to earn them an Outback bowl bid. Then again, they should have done the same to Northwestern, and we know how that went.

- The most intrigue for the Big Ten this weekend is whether Iowa or Penn State will be going to a BCS game (it matters not whether Texas wins or loses. Boise will be the ones getting left out if Nebraska does the impossible, which they won't considering beating Texas with that offense-ranked like 97th or something terrible like that- IS indeed impossible, but I'm just saying). Based on how they've played Iowa deserves the bid, but as we know, this has absolutely nothing to do with how they've played. Both teams travel extremely well, but Penn State has more of a national name and following, and let's be honest, they're more fun to watch. Still, sounds like if the Fiesta has its choice (and when Texas wins they will), they'll take the Hawkeyes, probably against Boise, dropping Penn State to play LSU in what should be a dandy of a Capital One bowl.

- The BCS game we do know is set is the Rose Bowl, as Oregon locked up their first trip to Pasadena in 15 years by beating rival Oregon State 37-33 in the Civil War last night. While there's another game going on in Atlanta tomorrow that will receive a wee bit of a attention, I'm pretty sure the best game of the week was played between the Ducks and the Beavers. How will the high flying Ducks matchup against Ohio State? Nobody yet seems to love their chances, but considering how good Ohio State's defense has been, especially against the run, I think they can slow Oregon's powerful rushing offense. The key, as always, will be Terrelle Pryor and whether he's allowed (or allows himself) to scramble and run. If he's forced to be "PPP" (Pocket Passer Pryor) the Buckeyes will lose.

- Before everyone gets all caught up in the "Brian Kelly to Notre Dame" hoopla, doesn't he have to beat Pittsburgh first? I think the Panthers are overrated, but they've got a heck of a pass rush and a good running back in freshman of the year Dion Lewis, so they should give Kelly and his #5 Cincinnati Bearcats a game. But as good as the Bearcats offense has been, their defense has been almost that bad, and an upset is not out of the question. What would be in question then is if Kelly looks so good to Notre Dame if blows a pseudo conference title game and ends up in the Gator Bowl or worse instead of in a BCS bowl?

- For those that care about the most overrated award in sports, the Heisman race will be decided Saturday night. QB's Tim Tebow of Florida and Colt McCoy of Texas were the pre-season favorites, but less than ridiculous, gawdy seasons from both have put their hopes of winning the award in jeopardy. Personally I think even if Tebow has the game of his life against Alabama he still shouldn't win it, as he just has not had a monster statistical season. McCoy, on the other hand, can wrap the thing up with a monster game in their victory Saturday night over Nebraska. Although Ndamukong Suh (who deserves at least an invite to New York for the Heisman ceremony) is not going to make it easy on him.

- Oh, and finally, about that there game in Atlanta- while I think it'll be low scoring and will lack the excitement the Civil War had, I am still hoping/expecting a great game between #1 Florida and #2 Alabama. Tough to pick a winner but I'll try: both defenses rank in the top 3 in the country and both are allowing less than 11 points per game. No really, less than 11 points. That's pretty unreal. I like Florida's defense a little better than Bama's (although with the Gators losing star DE Carlos Dunlap with a case of Dumbassitis it could be a total tossup), but I like Bama's offense a little better for one reason: WR Julio Jones. He is absolutely the key to this game, as he is the only big-play receiver on either sideline. He played well in the Tide's loss to the Gators in this same game last year, and if Bama wants to score, Jones HAS to be a factor. As good as both running games are (and obviously both are really, really good), it's whoever throws the ball better who is going to win, and if Jones can have a big afternoon, I like Alabama in a low-scoring close game 20-17.

Thursday, December 3, 2009

Gophs Still in the Discussion for the Alamo Bowl

Jer emailed me this Strib link yesterday to a story about how the Alamo Bowl says the Gophers are still in consideration, along with Michigan State. At first, I laughed, as it sounded like PR BS to build suspense and get attention for their bowl, knowing full well they were taking Michigan State all along. But after reading about the alleged on-campus assault in East Lansing, and the very real possibility this whole thing gets uglier before it gets better, I'm no longer laughing at the Gophers redefining the phrase "backing into a bowl game."

Not that I'm complaining. The Alamo Bowl has been a mini-goal of mine and Jer for the Gophs for years, a prestigious bowl against a good Big 12 team that's not quite New Year's Day bowl quality, but in my mind is light years better than the Insight/Music City/Sun bowl variety we're used to seeing Minnesota go to. And obviously it's a wee bit better than the Little Caesar's Bowl in Detroit- although I think even a game in Fargo or Winnipeg would be better than Detroit. But that's just me.

Still, if the Gophers were to get selected to play in San Antonio, regardless of the reasons, I'd be more than happy to see it. But if there's any chance of it happening, the findings in the alleged assault are going to have to be enough to scare away bowl officials, because unfortunately the Gophs have done a great job of scaring away bowl suitors with their on-field play.

If you're judging these two teams by on-field results, and really by anything not associated with the alleged assault, it's tough to find a reason to choose Minnesota over Michigan State other than the fact we beat them in an exciting shootout. If that Gopher offense had shown up for any of the 11 other games, we'd have an argument for being selected, but MSU was much more consistent and exciting offensively, and had a better conference record. I'm also pretty sure the fans of the Green and White travel as well or better than we do. Put it all together, and it's tough to make an argument that the Alamo Bowl would make more money (which is, of course, what it's all about) by selecting the Gophers over the Spartans.

But then there's the whole post-team banquet scuffle. If you haven't heard, this little incident makes all of the Gopher football off-season incidents this year seem tame. "Allegedly" (I learned from my short time in broadcasting to always use this word when talking about legal matters that have not yet been resolved) at least 10 players on the Spartans team had a score to settle with some guys in a frat on campus. After their team banquet, they decided it'd be a super swell idea to don ski masks (because really, 10 massive guys on a college campus- with ski masks or not- couldn't possibly be mistaken for football players) and go over to the frat and rough up a few guys. Of course, not everyone decided to wear ski masks but they went anyway and that's when the alleged assault took place. According to one witness, as many as 15-20 football players were there, although the involvement of any of them is still being determined.

As Adam Rittenburg said in a post last night, no arrests have been made, but well just look at the evidence...

The Spartans dismissed two players and suspended eight others in the wake of a Nov. 22 fight at a residence hall. Michigan State police have identified 10 suspects -- the school isn't calling the players suspects, only confirming they were present during the fight -- and still are trying to identify five more.


So while the school isn't calling them suspects, 10 players have admitted to being at the fight, the police have 10 suspects, and all 10 players present at the fight have been suspended (8) or booted off the team (2). Hmmmmm as Rittenburg said in an earlier post "you do the math."

I doubt this will be enough to keep the Alamo from inviting MSU, but if the official report comes out before the bowl announcement Sunday and the findings look bad, it's possible the folks in San Antonio could tag the Gophers instead of the Spartans. Still, the question comes down to would you rather have a team with some players who allegedly assaulted someone off the field, or a team with no national exposure whose offense on the field could quite possibly assault the eyes of all the viewers of their bowl game? Decisions, decisions.

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

My Two Cents on Brewster

I was one of the leading advocates for firing Coach Mason.  I started FireGlenMason.blogspot.com (now defunct).  I was ready to see him go, not because I thought he was a horrible coach, but because I didn't believe that he could take our program to any level higher than he had. 

When Coach Brewster was hired, I was skeptical.  I was pulling for a Bo Pellini type at the time.  But the more I heard him talk, and talk about his aspirations for the Gopher Football program, I was on board.  Clearly the proof needs to be shown on the field, but Coach Brewster was saying things that Glen Mason not only never said, but he would have laughed at the very notion of them. 

Mason never believed that Minnesota could compete on a national level, both on the field and in recruiting.  His attitude made it clear that he didn't think Minnesota had a chance to be anything better than a .500 team, give or take a game or two, each year.  But Brewster came in saying that we could, and then in short order he actually put an effort behind his words... as Gopher fans it finally felt like we had somebody who thought we deserved, and could be, more than a cellar-dweller. 

Tim Brewster has done some great things to move this program in the right direction.  Recruiting is obviously much improved, and we are landing players that we might not have even pursued in the past.  The attitude around the program seems much more "big time," for lack of a better term, and some around the nation have taken notice. 

But there's a saying around my office that applies to Gopher football, and specifically to Tim Brewster...

Don't mistake activity for results.

Tim Brewster has said all of the right things.  He's done all of the right things.  And he's done his damnedest to get everyone else to realize it.  His activity level has been very high, and the results of those individual activities have been positive.

However, at the end of the day, the only thing that matters is the total sum of the end results of those activities... wins and losses. 

Tim Brewster's activities have not produced acceptable results. 

Yet.

I certainly do not believe that Tim Brewster deserves to be fired.  And I will even go as far as to say that even if the Gophers get blown out in their bowl game, he doesn't deserve to be fired.  But I certainly do not believe that Tim Brewster deserves any kind of contract extension right now either.

Jeff hasn't advocated for the firing of Brewster, but he has said that if Maturi were to let Brewster go, that he would understand the decision, especially if it did come in the light of a blowout in the bowl game.  But I still tend to believe that firing Brewster would be a rash decision, and I think that in light of where the program is at right now, year 4 is do or die time for Coach Brewster. 

If you can't win (and by win I mean NO collapses, winning a rivalry game, a winning record in the conference, and a New Year's Day bowl game) in your 4th year, with your coaching staff, your recruits, in a new stadium and after having been given every chance to do so, then you should be shown the door.

Tim Brewster was brought to the University of Minnesota to bring the team to a better place, and if he can't accomplish anything more than the same mediocrity that his predecessor did, then he shouldn't be around anymore.

But that's next year. As for now, following the bowl game, I would love to see Joel Maturi release a statement like this...

"Tim Brewster has my full confidence heading into the 2010 Gopher Football season.  Having said that, his job is absolutely on the line if there are not some major improvements ON THE FIELD in 2010.  The University of Minnesota is no longer interested in fielding a football program that doesn't win at a very high level.  I believed when I hired Tim Brewster that he was the right man to bring us to the next level of competition in the Big Ten, however, I am open to the fact that I may have been wrong.  We intend to build a winner at the University of Minnesota, and if Tim Brewster is not the coach to build a winner, then we will pursue someone else who will following the 2010 season."

Brewster says the QB competition will be "wide open" come spring?

While reading Adam Rittenberg's blog this morning, I came across this question and answer from his mailblog:

Will from St. Paul, Minn., writes: Hey Adam,Love your blog, I read it every day. I was just wondering now that even Tim Brewster said that the quarterback situation for next spring is wide open, what the odds that Moses Alipate will be included in the mix? There really has not been to much talk about it, but when you look at the recruting records Moses was actually rated higher than Marquis Gray. He fits into the pro style offense much better because of his drop back and pass capabilities.

Adam Rittenberg: Minnesota needs to evaluate all of its options at quarterback next year. Adam Weber clearly took a step back this fall, and while he should be given a chance to keep his job, there has to be a competition with Alipate included. I really thought we'd see more of MarQueis Gray during the regular season, but Gray, like Weber, might be struggling to grasp the complexities of the pro-style system. While both Weber and Gray might be better suited to the spread in the long run, Alipate, like you mentioned, was billed as a drop-back passer coming out of high school. He definitely deserves a shot.


So my question would be: did Brewster actually say this? And if so when, and where? I scoured the internet looking for confirmation, but about the only recent news I could find about Brewster is that his house is for sale (and has been since September) and that he has a home visit with Seantrel Henderson this week. Anyone out there read or hear Brewster actually say he'll do the logical thing and make his three year starting quarterback who stunk this year actually earn his job in the spring? Maybe the source is his realtor? Maybe he told Seantrel he actually believes in competition and makes people earn their jobs (if this is true, can we get some competition for offensive coordinator Jed Fisch, please?)? Or is this just wishful thinking from a desperate Gopher fan? If anybody has anything concrete, I'd love to hear it.

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

What Should Be Expected at Minnesota

Not sure if you've heard, but Notre Dame fired their head football coach yesterday. Yes Charlie Weis, the man who when he came to South Bend loved to talk about how great he was as much as he loved a buffet table, was axed after a 6-6 season, his third straight without a winning record. The guy who couldn't talk enough when he got there about how things were going to change, wouldn't talk at all after the season ending loss- and fourth straight in 2009- to Stanford, as he escaped out the back door. Poor Charlie will now have to cry himself to sleep every night with his $30 million severance (or thereabouts), the result of which can be blamed on the Notre Dame Board of Directors, who saw fit to give Weis a 10 year extension eight games into his first season.

This job opening, as well as those at Louisville, Virginia, and an expected vacancy at Kansas, provide an interesting discussion at expectations versus reality. What is expected for a football program by the school and its supporters, and what is actually possible?

At Notre Dame, their alums and boosters would side with Pat Forde of ESPN.com, who believes all it will take is the right coach to return the program to its past glories and competing for a National Title every year. Many outside the program would agree with SI.com's Stewart Mandel, who calls the Fighting Irish job a death trap and believe the Irish need to face facts and accept their past glories are gone forever.

Which side is right? Which is wrong? As much as I love kicking Notre Dame while they're down, I think Forde is right- all it takes is the right coach. In this day and age pretty much anybody can be turned into a national power if they have the right coach and catch the right breaks. Little Boise State and their blue turf have been on the national radar for more than a decade thanks to coaches Dirk Koetter, Dan Hawkins and now Chris Petersen. TCU has risen to prominence thanks to Gary Patterson. Louisville, who never had much of a football tradition, kicked Steve Kragthorpe to the curb because former coach Bobby Patrino proved it could be done. Brian Kelly is the alleged front runner for the Notre Dame job because he's turned Cincinnati, who play in a dumpy 35,000 seat stadium and don't even have their own practice facility, into an almost overnight success story.

The fact it CAN be done almost anywhere is a blessing and a curse- just because it can be done obviously doesn't mean it WILL be done, as has been proven at so many other places. Like Notre Dame, Nebraska is still waiting for their return to glory, as are Miami, Florida State, Washington, and Texas A&M, to name a few. Closer to home in Big Ten country, we've seen and heard plenty about Michigan's struggles to get back to their place atop the conference standings. The folks in Ann Arbor make it seem like they've been in peril and termoil and their own version of college football purgatory for decades, when in fact it's been, what, two whole years?

Once you've had, as Nacho Libre would say, "a little taste of the glory", your expectations go through the roof, whether that's fair or not. Here at Minnesota, you'd have to REALLY broaden the definition of glory to say we've had even the smallest taste of it since the 1960's. Our Halycon Days are so far gone, there's few who still attend games who were actually alive to remember them. But does that stop us, as Gopher fans, from wanting more? Of course not. We ran Glen Mason out on a rail after he achieved, and sustained, the most success we had enjoyed in decades because we believed we deserved better than an all-offense, no-defense team team of six or seven wins and a trip to the Music City Bowl every year. Well, three years into the Tim Brewster Era and the results have been no-offense, some defense...with six or seven wins and a trip to the Insight Bowl every year. I, for one, don't seem to like this arrangement any better.

Is this fair? As a Gopher fan, am I insane to expect more? Mandel has laughed at Gopher fans a few times, saying essentially that we're the high school band geek who not only wants to be the star quarterback who dates the prom queen, but BELIEVES we're the star quarterback- and we're upset and frustrated because we can't figure out why it's not working out for us.

While I see his point, and I think EVERYBODY in college football could use a refresher in reality (good gracious Ohio State head coach Jim Tressel just won his fifth straight conference title, and yet after they lost to Purdue midway through the season, there were fans who honest to goodness believed it was time for a change. Les Miles down at LSU is 51-14 in five seasons, including a national title and conference title in 2006, and has won all four bowl games he's played in. But because the Bayou Bengals lost five games last year, and three this season- with two coming to the top two teams in the country- Tiger fans are also grumbling about their head coach), I do not think myself, or any Gopher fan, are crazy for not just wanting more, but for believing we can do better than this.

The question then is how much better? How much should be expected from the head coach of the Gophers? Where should we expect this program to be compared to where, in reality, it can be? I am of the belief that eight of the 11 teams in the Big Ten have a glass ceiling- no matter how well the eight of us recruit and play, we can never achieve and sustain the success that is possible at Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State. Those are traditionally three of the top 14 programs in the entire country- wait, you want the others? Fine. The top five in some order are Florida, Texas, USC, Ohio State and Meechigan. The next nine in some order are Oklahoma, LSU, Tennessee, Alabama, Penn State, Florida State, Notre Dame, Georgia and Nebraska. Virginia Tech would probably be 15, but a distant 15th, as whenever Frank Beamer finally decides to leave or retire, the Hokies could fade back to obscurity faster than Beamer brought them to prominence.

ANYWAY, this is an argument I'll be happy to have in the off-season when there's nothing to talk about, but for now the point is that when they have the right coach those 14 programs can achieve greater success and sustained success than anybody else because of some combination of money, facilties, fan following, tradition and recruiting base. As much as I love the Gophers, our days of being perennial national title contenders died back in the 50's and 60's. We just don't have, and never will have, the resources and the recruiting base to compete with the Buckeyes, Wolverines, and Nittany Lions when they've got everything going.

And you know what? I'm ok with that. What I want, and what I believe, is that we can duplicate the success of our two most hated rivals- Iowa and Wisconsin. I'll wait for our friends in those two fine states to stop laughing before I continue...done yet?...no?...a little longer?...I'm going to grab some more coffee...ok we could be days before they're done mocking us, and that's fine- they've earned it. But it doesn't change my belief that their success is achievable for Minnesota.

Both of these programs look at success as at least eight wins and a New Years Day Bowl Game. That's the floor. They expect, and have achieved in some seasons, double digit win totals and a shot at going to the Rose Bowl or a BCS Bowl. While they would love a national title and Big Ten title every year, they're not calling for their coach to be fired when it doesn't happen, and instead seem to expect and accept that a season between 8-10 wins, and anything better is truly a special year.

Iowa has been successful for just about ever, and like Nebraska, I'm not sure how it started, but it happened and they kept it. Rural state, few good recruits, and no good recruiting states close to them, yet they started a tradition way back when and through good coaching, good facilties, and an incredibly loyal fanbase, have sustained a place where kids want to play college football.

The parallels at Wisconsin, however, are much closer to ours. Like us, Sconnie had big-time success in the first half of the 20th Century, only to see their program descend to the bottom of the Big Ten. Wisconsin's dark times began after their Big Ten title in 1962, as they would struggle for almost 20 years before they found mediocrity with three straight seven win seasons from 1981-84. But it wasn't until some guy named Barry Alvarez was hired as head coach in 1990 that things really turned around- well actually, it wasn't until four years into Alvarez's tenure that they turned around. As we as Gopher fans know all too well, after three losing seasons, in 1994 Alvarez led the Badgers to a Big Ten title and Rose Bowl win over UCLA. In his next 12 seasons, Alvarez guided Sconnie to two more Big Ten titles and eleven bowls, including two more Rose Bowl victories. By the time he retired in 2005 to become athletic director, Alvarez had gotten a much needed stadium renovation and expansion done to Camp Randall, and the good people of Wisconsin were bleeding red and white almost as much as green and gold. Assuming the Badgers blow out Hawaii this weekend, it'll be yet another nine win regular season, and with so much talent returning in 2010, coach Bret Bielma could have them back in Pasadena as soon as next season.

It has worked and continues to work in those two rural states with poor recruiting areas, and it could just as easily work here too. We finally have a good stadium, the U is a great place to go to school, and the Twin Cities are one of the most underrated metropolitan areas in the country to live in. Sure it snows and the winters are long and cold, but it's no different than Iowa, Wisconsin, or Nebraska. All we need now is to win. Maybe I'm as crazy as fans at Notre Dame, Louisville, or anywhere (and maybe everywhere) else where expectations seem to exceed reality, but I believe we can be a perennial nine game winner and chase conference titles and Rose Bowl berths just like at Iowa and Wisconsin.

I have my doubts whether Brewster is that guy, but I believe, and will continue to believe until it happens (or the day I die, whichever comes first), that it can happen at Minnesota. All we need is the right coach.

Monday, November 30, 2009

Gophers Clinch Insight Bowl Bid...By Doing Absolutely Nothing

While it won't become official until Sunday night, the Minnesota Golden Gophers football team secured their third trip in four years to Tempe, Arizona for the Insight.com Bowl. How did they do it, you ask? Why by doing exactly what you and I did all weekend- sit on the couch, eat way too much food, and watch every team outside of the top six who had any chance of going to a BCS bowl knock themselves out of the race.

There's a reason the old and tired cliche that you should "throw the records out" in a rivalry game is still around: it's because it's true. Six ranked teams lost to unranked rivals last week (and two of the top three teams in the country, Alabama and Texas, got major scares in theirs) as Georiga beat #7 Georgia Tech, West Virginia knocked off #8 Pittsburgh (see? This is why I was skeptical of Dave Wannsted. Because Dave Wannsted will always be Dave Wannsted. He will never win at Pittsburgh- or anywhere else), South Carolina beat #15 Clemson (and killed any Heisman hopes Tigers tailback CJ Spiller had left), Mississippi State took the Egg Bowl from once-again overrated #20 Ole Miss, NC State shocked #23 North Carolina, and in the game that clinched the Insight Bowl for the Gophers, Oklahoma shut out #11 Oklahoma State.

The Okies embarrassing defeat knocked them out of the top 14 in the BCS standings, meaning the Big Ten is now guaranteed (I believe they were already guaranteed a second team regardless of what happened with Oklahoma State, but this cements it) a second BCS bowl team- Iowa or Penn State- which will play in either the Orange or Fiesta Bowl. Rumors persist that if the Fiesta has a choice they would take Iowa, and if the Orange has a choice, they'll take Penn State. Either way, one of those two being assured of going to a BCS game bumps everybody else behind them in the Big Ten up a bowl spot, which means the Gophers will avoid going where they deserve to go, to the Little Caesars Bowl in Detroit. Of course, the matchup in Tempe with another Big 12 team should also assure the Gophs of a third straight a**-whooping in that game, and possibly the second time in three trips there that it would cost Minnesota's head coach his job.

Honestly, I hated the idea of going to Detroit for a bowl game, and I assume Brewster did too, but now you have to wonder if Detwah wouldn't have been a better place for this team. No really. Not that the Gophers should expect to beat anybody with the way they've played this month, but would you rather face a MAC team (BamaHawkeye makes a good point in his weekly bowl projections that I linked to earlier that the Little Caesar's bowl actually doesn't get first choice of MAC teams this year), or a Big 12 squad (Texas A&M? Missouri? Iowa State?) with a high-scoring offense that is likely to light up our squad like Texas Tech and Kansas have done before? If Brew's Crew gets blown out and embarrassed for the fourth straight game (personally, I count the SDSU "win" as embarrassing as any loss we had this season. Seriously) by Texas A&M or whomever from the Big 12, it very well could mean the end for him, whereas it's much more plausible the Gophs could have beaten, or at least looked respectible against a MAC team.

I have maintained all season that Brewster deserved a fourth season here regardless of what happened in November, but seeing how this month played out, if/when the Gophers get thrashed down in Tempe, I would not oppose, and would in fact support, AD Joel Maturi if he decides to make a coaching change. Brewster has done little this year to make me believe things are going to get any better next season, especially when you consider the schedule will be just as tough (including a home game against USC) AND the team loses nine starters on defense and three more on offense, including by far his best player in Eric Decker. Short of winning their bowl game and/or landing Seantrel Henderson, I'm finding less and less reason to bring Brewster back for 2010.

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

GFB Top 25: Week 13

Not many changes this week, as there were few surprises and few big games from last weekend. Not sure we'll see any major changes next week either. Sure almost everybody who plays has a rivalry game, but they all look pretty one-sided. Pitt-West Virginia in the Backyard Brawl is the one most ripe for an upset, and as my rankings indicate, I still just don't trust Dave Wannsted. If he beats the Mountaineers, who have absolutely owned him, then we can talk about a juicy Cincy/Pitt winner-take-all suedo Big East title game. But not until then.

1 Florida 11-0
2 Alabama 11-0
3 Texas 11-0
4 TCU 11-0
5 Cincinnati 10-0
6 Georgia Tech 10-1
7 Boise State 11-0
8 Oregon 9-2
9 Ohio State 10-2
10 Iowa 10-2
11 Pittsburgh 9-1
12 Virginia Tech 8-3
13 Clemson 8-3
14 LSU 8-3
15 Miami (FL) 8-3
16 USC 7-3
17 Oklahoma State 9-2
18 Penn State 10-2
19 Oregon State 8-3
20 Mississippi 8-3
21 Brigham Young 9-2
22 Utah 9-2
23 California 8-3
24 Houston 9-2
25 North Carolina 8-3

Dropped Out: Stanford 7-4

Nothing really to say about the top 13 as everyone stayed the same or moved up to replace LSU since last week. I dropped the Bayou Bengals to 14 because I love their defense but not so much their offense or Les Miles' playcalling. After that, no big changes other than Ole Miss jumping five spots after beating LSU. If they had gotten halfback Dexter McClendon more involved from the start of the season, the Rebels may have lived up their lofty expectations. As it stands, they should be a team no one is going to want to play in a bowl game.

That's about it. Safe travels for all, enjoy the food, and have a very Happy Thanksgiving.

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Decker Only Gopher Named All-Big Ten

The Big Ten has announced its All-Conference and Player of the Year selections for 2009 (they don't seem to care that Wisconsin and Illinois still have games left to play. They want to play after the weekend before Thanksgiving, that's their business!!), and Gophers WR Eric Decker, who only appeared in eight games this season, was named to the first team. Decker was looking like an All-American at the midway point of the season, but an injury to the arch in his left foot ended his season in the first quarter of the Ohio State Debacle.

Still, his 50 catches for 758 yards and 5 TD catches (all of which led the conference before he got hurt) were enough to grab the attention and respect of the Big Ten coaches, who named him to their first team. While I feel Decker absolutely deserves this honor, I'm a little surprised I suppose, considering there were other guys who played the whole season who put some pretty good totals.

Other Gophers named first and second team were...ok, actually no one else from the squad made it for either the coaches or the media- even Adam Weber. I know, I know, if only all you Weber Apologists could have explained to the voters how good he really is and how much everything that happened and his awful numbers were not his fault. Not at all. He's such a good guy! He tries so hard! Oh the shame of it all.

The only other offensive player who had a shot of getting on was TE Nick Tow-Arnett, but thanks to our offenses' disappearing act in the last two games, his numbers dropped off, so he was left off. Tough to argue with the choices of Sconnie's Garrett Graham and Iowa's Tony Moeaki anyway.

However, I did think one our linebackers would make 2nd team. Lee Campbell led the Big Ten in solo tackles (65) and was third in solo (112), while Nate Triplett was in the top 10 in solo tackles (52), seventh in total (95), and also intercepted two passes, but both were left off. Iowa's LB AJ Edds made the coaches' 2nd team while Penn State's Josh Hull was selected for the last spot for the media. Edds did have four picks, but only 72 tackles on the season, while Hull led the JoePa's in tackles with 110 and also had 8.5 tackles for loss, 2 sacks and 2 picks. This is what happens when you finish in the three in the conference and have a good defense- the voters reward you even if there's more deserving guys out there.

You also have to wonder how much the media AND coaches really pays attention to every team when Traye Simmons was named honorable-mention. Really? The same Simmons who was burned regularily and was yanked for a true freshman in the Michigan State game? He was an "honorable mention" as a starter by the end of the year (meaning he didn't start!!!), but that's about it.

I actually think the coaches make a pretty strong case about having their votes taken away entirely and to just have the media vote count. For one thing, I hate that the coaches' vote allows ties. Typical. Let's just have everyone tie for the award so no one's feelings are hurt, ok? It'll be like a youth soccer league where every kid gets a trophy to feel like a winner.

But the big reason the coaches should have their voting priviledges taken away entirely was because they failed to name Michigan State linebacker Greg Jones as the Defensive Player of the Year. After all, he only led the conference in tackles (141), tackles per game (11.8), was third in sacks (9), and was eighth in tackles for loss (13.5). Yet not only did that not name the obvious guy- he was one of only two unanimous selections from the media (Wisky RB John Clay was the other)- they went WAY off the board by somehow selecting Penn State defensive linemen Jared Odrick.

If you're thinking "who?" don't worry, you're not alone. Odrick's a nice player, as he was named 2nd team by the media, but he not only wasn't even the best defender on his own team, I'm not even sure he was Penn State's best defensive lineman!! He did lead the team in sacks with six (which was good for only eighth in the Big Ten), but was only fifth in tackles with 40 (his 15 solo ranked 11th), and was only fourth in TFL with 10. Fellow D-lineman Jack Crawford was every bit as good as Odrick as he had more tackles for loss 13.5 and just a half less sacks at 5.5.

He certainly wasn't the conference's best defensive lineman, as at least six other D-linemen had more sacks AND tackles for loss than Odrick, and most had more forced fumbles and fumble recoveries.

So Odrick definitely wasn't the conference's best defender, he definitely wasn't his team's best defender, he definitely wasn't even one of the conference's six best defensive linemen, and might not have even been his own team's best defensive linemen...but the coaches' picked him as their DOP. They must have used the same rationale the Nobel Peace Prize judges used when they picked Barack Obama for their award.

Here then are the selections from the coaches and media for Player of the Year. For full 1st and 2nd teams, click the link at the top of the post.

As selected by CONFERENCE COACHES

OFFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR: John Clay, Wisconsin
OFFENSIVE LINEMAN OF THE YEAR: Bryan Bulaga, Iowa
DEFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR: Jared Odrick, Penn State
DEFENSIVE LINEMAN OF THE YEAR: Jared Odrick, Penn State
FRESHMAN OF THE YEAR: Chris Borland, Wisconsin


As selected by the MEDIA

OFFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR: John Clay, Wisconsin
DEFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR: Greg Jones, Michigan State
FRESHMAN OF THE YEAR: Chris Borland, Wisconsin
DAVE McCLAIN COACH OF THE YEAR: Kirk Ferentz, Iowa

Monday, November 23, 2009

The Waiting is the Hardest Part

It's not my favorite Tom Petty tune (and probably not even in my top 10. Best Tom Petty song of all time? Has to be Mary Jane's Last Dance. One of the best music videos too, with Kim Bassinger. Do they still make music videos?), but that song title seems to fit the mood after another brutal and embarrassing Gopher shutout loss to Iowa.

Last season's 55-0 drubbing was awful because the game was over almost as soon as it started, and having to sit through four quarters of that was maybe the worst thing I've ever had to endure as a sports fan. Well Saturday's 12-0 loss to Iowa was almost worse, because unlike last year, Iowa was vunerable all game long, our defense played their best game all season, and yet the offense could do absolutely nothing. I texted Jermo midway through the third quarter that "if our D doesn't score a TD, it's over." Sure enough it was, the defense did everything but score, and still, the offense did nothing.

And now comes the tough part: waiting more than a month for another game, having to wonder whether we'll ever score again, and just what the heck is going on with this football team. A few things to ponder while we wait...

...Gopher Hockey outscored Gopher football 2-0 on Saturday.

...the Minnesota defense held Iowa to 171 total yards, just 54 yards rushing at 1.5 yards per rush, and 1-13 on third down. And the Gophers still lost by double digits.

...from that defensive group, we return just two starters next year- zero from the front seven.

...Gopher tailbacks Kevin Whaley and Duane Bennett had 15 carries combined. MarQueis Gray had only seven more.

...despite injuries to two starting receivers, Eric Decker and Brandon Green, juco transfer Hayo! Carpenter did not catch a pass and I do not think even got on the field for an offensive play. Either Carpenter said something very, very bad about Tim Brewster's mom, or perhaps it's time to admit that Hayo! is a bust, and there's a reason so many other schools passed on a kid many were calling the best JUCO wide receiver in the nation last year.

...Adam Weber was 14/40 (35%) for 138 yards (a pathetic 3.8 yards per attempt), and yet backup MarQueis Gray was never allowed to play for more than one play in a row. Despite Weber's struggles all season, Gray was never, ever allowed to play one meaingful series as the quarterback. Not once. Only Brewster and Jed Fisch know why, and neither seems to be saying if they actually have a reason.

...Speaking of Fisch, Brewster brought him in because now former offensive co-ordinator Mike Dunbar's offense wasn't getting it done. Through 12 games Fisch's offense is worse statistically in just about every major category than Dunbar's was in 2007 or 2008. I wish I were kidding (also keep in mind the Gophs only played 12 games in 2007).

Points per game
2007: 26.2
2008: 23.2
2009: 21.6

Touchdowns
2007: 42
2008: 38
2009: 32

Offensive Yards Per Game
2007: 407.5
2008: 322.9
2009: 295.8

Rushing Yards Per Game
2007: 161.8
2008: 103.8
2009: 97.6

Yards Per Rush
2007: 4.5
2008: 3.1
2009: 2.9

Rushing TD's
2007: 15
2008: 20
2009: 13

Passing Yards Per Game
2007: 245.8
2008: 219.1
2009: 198.2

Completion Percentage
2007: 57.7%
2008: 62.1%
2009: 51.5%

Interceptions Thrown
2007: 19
2008: 8
2009: 15

3rd Down Conversions
2007: 43%
2008: 35%
2009: 35%

Sacks Allowed
2007: 13-88 yards
2008: 30-200 yards
2009: 39-245

...head coach Tim Brewster, with two years remaining on a five year contract, obviously will not be getting a contract extension just yet. While I think he deserves one more season, if we lose in another bowl game, I'm not going to blame people for who wonder if he deserves a fourth season? Consider he is now 0-9 in trophy games, has not beaten a ranked 1-A opponent, and is 6-18 in the Big Ten in three seasons.

...will Iowa or Penn State bail us out of the Little Caesar's Bowl in Detroit by getting into a BCS game?

...If they do, who from the Big 12 North will we play in the Insight.com Bowl?

...and will it go any better than the 42-20 drubbing we took from Kansas in that game last year? Then again, could it possibly go any worse?

...oh that's right, we haven't scored an offensive touchdown in eight quarters. I suppose it could.

Finally, the waiting serves as a reminder that there are far worse things in life than a football team with no offense...

Former Ohio State All-American linebacker Chris Spielman is a college football anaylst for ESPN, and usually does the Saturday 11am game as part of a three-man booth, which includes long-time analyst Bob Griese. Spielman was not there for the Gopher/Iowa game, and I wondered if he had been assigned to another game. Turns out the reason is infinitely more tragic: his wife Stefanie passed away last weekend after a long battle with breast cancer (she had beaten the horrible disease four times already). Obviously, our thoughts and prayers go out to Chris and the family. You can also donate online or get more information on how breast cancer research at the Stefanie Spielman Fund for Breast Cancer Research.